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Transport on May 27



The world continues to recover, and this is noticeable. In fact, the country has become more dangerous, but people perceive the situation as more calm. Plus, the removal of quarantines is very pleasing to everyone. A demo version of what happens when quarantine is removed was shown in Israel. There, at almost all public transport stops, there was such a “zergrash” that headlines appeared in the spirit of Israel ’s “phased exit” from quarantine turned public transport into hell. ” I note that what they call hell, judging by the photo, in Moscow we see every ordinary weekday in the subway at rush hour.

And now the most important thing:

  • "Victory" brought down the prices of air carriers for flights in June.
  • More than half of the regions of the Russian Federation begin to lift restrictions. The Federal Tourism Agency announced a phased exit from quarantine on June 1.
  • Some trains are returning.
  • Aeroflot allowed changing dates on tickets twice for free.
  • We will not fly a “chess”, all the seats will be occupied.
  • In Europe, restrictions continue to be lifted. For example, the “no more than 100 kilometers from home” scheme in France seems to be already working. More and more countries are ready to let tourists in and are doing everything so that flows will soon recover.

Below details, there is still a lot of rather interesting news, in particular, about the next data discharge.

Important


  • The return of the Pobeda low- cost airline provoked a sharp decline in the cost of flights of the largest airlines. For example, tickets from Aeroflot fell 2-3 times. The June tickets for S7 Airlines also dropped in price.
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  • According to an April survey, a third of US small businesses ceased operations, and another 11% expect collapse in the next three months if the conditions of COVID-19 continue.

The world air transportation market, which collapsed due to the coronavirus pandemic by 94%, is once again ready to gain altitude.

Traffic in Europe:





Firstly, there are still many (numerically) people who have not received a refund for air travel. This is due to the uncertainty in law, and we really hope that we can finish these issues with air carriers in the coming week. This applies to less than 5% of canceled flights, for the rest refunds are made, for many - automatically before the client contacts (these are Victory flights, for example).

Secondly, the sweetest discounts are over, but carriers still make promotions. You can find some very interesting tickets for summer and autumn, since it is very important for carriers to get working capital. This is also a type of futures, because with the same June it is not clear, but it is probably worth the risk.

Thirdly, people began to return tickets less. This is especially noticeable on the bus market, there is almost half the percentage of returns than last year for the same period: this means that leapfrog with different quarantines ends.

On Radar of Hope, we dubbed specific directions where, in fact, you can fly out of the city, and we show quarantine measures for each point. This is so that you do not arrive at the observatory. Journalists really liked this, and came out with a hundred publications, what and where is happening around the world. Because we have added Europe, and there is a lot of strange things. For example, that week there was a loophole to Minsk, from where you could safely fly to almost all major cities in Europe.

Here are the weekly quarantines by region:

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  • Tatarstan : arrivals from other regions must have a certificate of absence of COVID-19 or undergo a 14-day self-isolation. Transport communication is reduced due to a decrease in passenger traffic. There are no restrictions on entry.
  • Ulyanovsk Region : until May 31, mandatory self-isolation for people over 65 and people with chronic diseases, the rest is recommended.
  • Khanty-Mansiysk Autonomous Okrug : visitors from Bashkortostan, Dagestan and Yakutia must have a certificate of the epidemiological environment. Entry to Lyantor, Nizhny Sortymsky and Fedorovsky is restricted.


And here is a chart of the number of flights:


3194 flights this week versus 2862 last year

In general, the country comes to life. At the same time, according to the polls, the majority do not go anywhere for entertainment or relaxation, but people are more boldly moving around Russia on business. There are more trips as needed. The situation with the spread of the virus, it seems, is the same or slightly better than a month ago. This is a bit strange, because a month ago the chances of getting infected were much lower (judging by the number of contacts), but the agenda of the main media seems to be affecting. Or just people are tired of being afraid. Well, when traveling, people most of all do not want to get stuck in quarantine (observance) in another city. We resolved this issue just by looking at all the regulations for all regions, placing them in the Radar of Hope database, and from there on the API we give the rest of the services, and, in particular, we show the state in both cities when selling a ticket.The growth of train traffic (purchases for the future) is two times ahead of our calculation model, which was a very pleasant surprise.

Let me remind you that the digest comes out weekly. You can read the previous issue here .

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