CAPA Center for Aviation believes that most airlines will go bankrupt by May if governments do not intervene. As you might guess, they can intervene either with money, or with the nationalization of money, or come up with something else that eventually turns into money.The list of 646 backbone companies for the economy of our country (except for Fonbet) included these airlines:96 " -"
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You can buy tickets from them with less concern. We still recommend sitting at home and not flying, but if you really need to, these options look healthy.We made a dashboard with flight analytics: the status of airports and flights to them
is updated every couple of hours: This is a “radar of hope”, because it will be used to see how the transport network of flights from Russia is being restored. Now the general condition is 401 flights out of 3,168 within Russia and 6 flights out of 899 abroad.Examples of airline communications
A very cool idea to collect the base: Aeroflot has arranged miles with retail and offers refrigerators and a pharmacy. It sounds strange at first glance, but if you think about the spectrum of their capabilities in this situation, it looks surprisingly sensible. Here is the neutral position of EasyJet
«…no flights operating anywhere on our network other than fo repatriation» «if your flight is cancelled as result of this…» — «this» , , — . . What happens to airlines and the travel market?
Here it is:
Well-fed polar foxVedomosti :“So far, the terrorist attack in the United States on September 11, 2001, was the biggest blow to the airline industry. According to IATA, the companies lost in 2001-2002. amounted to $ 25 billion. It took the industry three years to return to the 2000 income level. The September 11 attacks led to the massive bankruptcy of airlines around the world. But at the same time, such shocks are a chance for the industry. For 20 years, she has already experienced major changes. On the one hand, security rules have been radically tightened. On the other hand, low-cost airlines began to set the tone. As a result, global transportation in 20 years, according to IATA, has almost tripled, the network of air routes has doubled, and the cost of transportation, on the contrary, has doubled. ”
Losses this year will be greater according to IATA. That crisis finished off Swissair, for example.Rambler / Finance :“According to the estimates of the World Association of Business Travels, the losses of travel agencies around the world can reach up to $ 47 billion per month. The tourism business of China and countries dependent on Chinese tourists (Hong Kong, Macau, Thailand, Cambodia and the Philippines) will be especially affected. According to the World Tourism Organization, Chinese tourists annually spent about $ 260 billion on travel (twice as much as tourists from the United States spend), and the Chinese themselves are the most traveling nation in the world. This year, it was expected that 500 million Chinese would travel, but they were “quarantined” and Chinese and foreign travel agencies would not see their money. ”
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Air Italy (the second in Italy) is already bankrupt . Moreover, despite the entire mess in Italy, it goes bankrupt unusually mildly by modern standards, a couple of weeks flying the remaining flights on its net with foreign airlines, and then changing its tickets to similar other companies. If anything, 29% belonged to Qatar Airways, they invested $ 90 million in development, but the company suffered major losses in 2018 and 2019. But about the renationalization of Alitalia .The British Flybe came under external management on March 5 (this is the terminal stage of business development).Very strange storyoccurs with Airfrance-KLM. From the side it looks like a conflict of founders and a redistribution of votes in the rescued company. Words about "soft spin" are directly requested, but so far it is really incomprehensible.The picture is wider :“Closing borders around the world puts airlines at risk of bankruptcy. The British IAG is forced to reduce traffic by 75%, Ryanair - by 80%, Air France –KLM - by 90%. American Airlines Group reduces the volume of international flights by 75%. In March, United Airlines predicts a $ 1.5 billion drop in airline ticket bookings due to border closures. “The salaries of top managers will be cut by 50% at least until the end of spring, and possibly by the end of summer.”
Brussels Airlines, a member of Lufthansa, has declared a “virtual bankruptcy” . It differs from the real one in that, in fact, the project was decommissioned and restarted again inside Lufthansa.This is what the recovery forecast for the beautiful Ponta Delgada looks like (this is an airport on the Azores in the middle of the Atlantic):
What else happened?
There is evidence from Thailand that lopinavir (which is in one of the treatment regimens) is ineffective.A tigress in New York was infected with a coronavirus, that is , cats are now added to the hosts .China planned domestic flights in May with the same density as in 2019.“Victory” returns money for canceled flights to an account in your account on your website, but if you need it with real money, no earlier than next summer.IATA has recognized vouchers as a refund form for canceled flights. The organization calls for a switch from a typical refund policy for canceled tickets to vouchers.Export flightsdecided to stop , several thousand Russian tourists remained abroad, most of them in Thailand. But stuck tourists can count on 2400 rubles a day. III ... the flights are off again ! Here is the news .S7 reduces the frequency of domestic flights.In Wuhan, the airport is reopened.“Overlapping administrative borders in the regions of Russia is unacceptable. This was stated by Prime Minister Mikhail Mishustin. "In Chelyabinsk (which was just blocked) the streets are disinfected with the help of Soviet monsters for anti-aising (these are the things on the basis of engines removed from the sides for the development of the resource of the engine that can blow the plane from ice and protruding parts).Here we have a post with a story about how these things worked , and how the same procedure is being done now. From my point of view, the decision is strange in terms of hygiene, but it should very calm the inhabitants. It’s immediately obvious from such roaring shit that the government is working. And now everything that calms the layman is a plus.Here is a slightly intimidating Skoltech virus spread model .Here are the WHO data that are suddenly knocked out of forecasts: the epidemic is spreading much more slowly than expected. I was thinking about one obvious factor, but no : “Vuynovich also stated that the WHO did not find evidence that Russia understated the number of people infected with coronavirus.”Well, the good news is that seismologists are wildly happy because, due to the reduction in the number of vibrations from trains and other vehicles , weak events can finally be recorded . Last time it was never like that.What does it look like on our part?
The last series of what happened with the transport.All tours were removed, including directions within Russia until mid-April for all. Further, the dates vary depending on the tour operator and direction. All tour operators, except the Biblioglobus, do not return money to tourists for them, but offer to deposit (they can choose another tour for this money until the end of 2021). Biblioglobus gives money. We were not ready to take into account such deposits technically, and there are lots of issues legislatively. And the syura adds that claims can only be accepted in the original, which does not fit with quarantine and self-isolation. Who accepts electronically - we send inquiries and we accompany, helping tourists.Air: Last week there were single return flights from China. Suddenly sales started in Italy in November: it seems that our citizens are not optimistic. Flights across the Russian Federation are gradually being canceled: here both the fact that certain regions close, and the fact that airlines are taking off flights due to falling load.Trains : Russian Railways has reduced the depth of sales to 45 days in all directions, so they are not buying summer yet. Most of the purchases go in the coming week, the most common case is a purchase for tomorrow. Trains are underloaded, and their number is declining. Passengers are either returned the full amount or transferred to another analog train, because cancellations are mainly for duplicate trains. Cancellations can be viewed here .The share “only there” sharply increased:
There is a small peak in May sales.For buses , the same picture is observed as for other modes of transport. As long as there is time, we plan to make a memo on how to return or exchange a ticket with each ticket, and in the same place we note a couple of cases like "what to do if the bus breaks down." It was high time to do this in ordinary time, but right now it’s very useful.The passenger flow of trains continued to decline — a third of the normal load has already become familiar. Aeroexpress trains suffered the most. Which, in general, is not surprising. Our electric train operators handle recursion. At first there is a cancellation, then often the cancellation of the cancellation, and then the cancellation of the cancellation of the cancellation in the schedule.Here is an interesting analysis of incomplete data:
The call center has finally stabilized on cancellation processing, although on April 2 there was another local peak of calls. The situation was very interesting on March 31: there Victory canceled flights, and we were able to automatically process a lot of tickets, which seriously reduced the scope of work. Another way to scale the call center gave a small additional increase: there were free GDS specialists on the market, whom we invite to urgent one-time contracts to cope with the situation.Well, they launched the informer.Radar of Hope
The service is deployed here: hope.tutu.ruThe map shows Russian airports + all directions to which there were direct flights from Russia. You can bump into each of the airports and see what happens there. So far, you can get an idea of ​​how interesting our direct flights network was to various countries and think about the future of aviation in the context of hubs or long-haul flights to medium-sized airports.As flights are restored, relevant information about quarantines, verification measures, control features (if there are biopassports - about them) and so on will appear there, and tickets and timetables can be checked there.
6 open - this is SVO-BKK, SU272; OVB-BKK, S75701; DME-EVN, WZ323; VKO-MUC, V8816 - dated April 6, plus IKT-BKK, S76331 and VVO-HND, S76289 on April 7. Given the nature of these flights, there will soon be zero in the outbound.The general informer shows “country temperature”. While it’s better to stay at home. But one day we will show you where you can safely and safely fly. City by city, airport by airport, country by country. Judging by the scenario of China - this is oh how useful after the end of quarantine.